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             My name is John K. Harris. I am a Ph.D. in accounting and a Professor Emeritus, University of Tulsa. I was a CPA for 30 years. Via self-directed study for the last 23 years, I have become a stock market historian. In 2016, I self-published a book: The Grow-and-Protect Investment Strategy: Evidence and Inspiration (Revised First Edition). It is available on Amazon.  To learn more about my stock market credentials, click here.  My research partner is Kip Karney, a career microbiologist, who like me, is self-taught regarding stock market timing.

                    The updated HK Performance Record appears below, 11/12/19 to 12/31/20.  The 03/20/20 buy signal (S&P 500 2304.92) is still in effect as of 02/24/21 (S&P 500 3925.43). 

                     I recommend you spend 15-20 minutes at this website to get a good overview of The Grow-and-Protect book, which is a classic David vs. Goliath story.

Description of Book

            The buy-and-hold (B&H) strategy along with dollar-cost averaging has served millions of investors very well for a long time. The new-found knowledge imparted in my book provides specific answers regarding when to be invested in the S&P 500 or when to hold cash or go short the S&P 500. This knowledge has the potential to help individual investors grow and protect (G&P) their wealth with “sleep well” confidence. The knowledge also will broaden the perspectives of financial advisers, professional money managers, market strategists, market technicians, financial journalists and the academic community.  (For a comparison of the 4-year live test of G&P returns vs. S&P 500 returns, click here.)  (For details on the G&P model’s challenge and the Harris Karney [HK] model's challenge to the Efficient Market Theory, click here.) Regardless of your perspective, Louis Pasteur’s insightful observation applies today: “Chance favors the prepared mind.”

            May the B&H model, the G&P model, and the Harris Karney model help illuminate your financial path. God bless you!

Endorsement of Book

            “People make their investment decisions in various ways. Some favor looking at history. If you like that approach, you should consider the popular buy-and-hold strategy and the grow-and-protect strategy (based on the brand-new Harris Karney market timing model) set forth in this book. Dr. Harris writes in a user-friendly way that can be readily understood by those less familiar with investing and its terminology. I think experienced investors also will find the book to be a worthwhile read. The knowledge imparted in the book can help you manage your wealth with confidence. An uncommon feature of the book is the moving spiritual account Dr. Harris gives of his life during 1997-2019."

                                                                       Srikant Datar
                                                                       Dean, Harvard Business School

John K. Harris Research Cited in Barron’s

(a baker’s dozen in chronological order)
 Note: Mike Santoli is now (February 2020) Senior Market Commentator at CNBC.

1. Michael Santoli, The Trader column, Barron’s (December 1, 2003), p. MW3.

·     The S&P 500’s long winning streaks of 120 trading days or more without a 5% pullback placed in the context of the bull market’s length.

2. Michael Santoli, “Dullsville U.S.A.,” Barron’s (July 19, 2004), p. 19.

·     The S&P 500’s very low volatility in January–June periods linked to the 4-year U.S. Presidential cycle.

3. Michael Santoli, The Trader column, Barron’s (August 16, 2004), p. MW3–MW4.

·     Of the 18 years when the S&P 500 reached a YTD low after July 31, 10 saw the year’s low occur in August.

4. Michael Santoli, The Trader column, Barron’s (February 20, 2006), p. M3.

·     The Dow’s long winning streaks of 120 trading days or more without a 5% pullback compared to the current streak.

5. Alan Abelson, Up&Down Wall Street column, Barron’s (October 27, 2008), p. 6.

·     The near-term aftermath in U.S. Presidential election years when the S&P 500 was in a bear market on Election Day.

6. Michael Santoli, The Trader column, Barron’s (December 29, 2008), p. M5.

·     Years when the S&P 500 fell 10% or more in the October–December quarter typically ushered in a very weak next year.

7. Michael Santoli, Streetwise column, Barron’s (February 23, 2009), p. 15.

·     Years when the S&P 500 fell 10% or more in January or February had much more downside in the following months.

8. Michael Santoli, Streetwise column, Barron’s (October 19, 2009), p. 5.

·     The S&P 500’s rally in 2009 was remarkably similar to the rally in 1938.

9. Michael Santoli, “Bullish Trends for 2010,” Barron’s (January 4, 2010), p. 11.

·     The S&P 500’s near-term prospects when its high for the preceding year occurred in December.

10. Michael Santoli, “Too Beautiful for You,” Barron’s (February 21, 2011), p. 19.

·     The S&P 500’s long winning streaks of 120 trading days or more without a 5% pullback placed in the context of the bull market’s length.

11. Michael Santoli, “Enjoying a Low-Volume Levitation,” Barron’s (March 28, 2011), p. 21.

·     Years when the S&P 500 did not close lower than the preceding year’s closing high had an average return far better than the average return for all years.

12. Michael Santoli, “Awaiting September’s Performance,” Barron’s (September 5, 2011), p. 11.

·     The S&P 500’s June–August performance as a predictor of September.

13. Michael Santoli, The Trader column, Barron’s (January 2, 2012), p. M3.

·     Years when the S&P 500 total was in the range of -5% to +5% had a positive tendency for the next year, but sometimes with nastiness involved.

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